Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.381382 0.439939 0.501413 0.570482 0.645648 0.724705 0.813873
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.292536 0.371972 0.460521 0.565435 0.685253 0.816794 0.971081
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.241261 0.335800 0.447028 0.584929 0.748747 0.934736 1.159443
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.190132 0.291165 0.416797 0.579611 0.780299 1.015184 1.306453
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.163933 0.273103 0.415439 0.606713 0.849456 1.140265 1.507977
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.133966 0.244907 0.397084 0.609347 0.886657 1.226477 1.664192
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.110043 0.221038 0.381077 0.612292 0.922473 1.310321 1.818060
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.093991 0.206119 0.375257 0.627208 0.972874 1.412379 1.995396
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081929 0.195375 0.373822 0.647028 1.029282 1.522339 2.183763
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.071547 0.185564 0.372384 0.665905 1.084088 1.630573 2.371076
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058488 0.168354 0.357433 0.663571 1.108789 1.699149 2.508032
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049878 0.157852 0.351886 0.674177 1.150969 1.790782 2.675334
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039422 0.141437 0.335160 0.667210 1.168638 1.851080 2.804542
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029039 0.122076 0.310888 0.646467 1.165046 1.881908 2.894995
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024307 0.114903 0.307605 0.658635 1.209452 1.978660 3.073794
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018099 0.101518 0.290919 0.647476 1.218265 2.025877 3.186597
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016068 0.099611 0.296341 0.673334 1.283261 2.152190 3.407168
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012477 0.091206 0.287559 0.674174 1.309692 2.224347 3.554946
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009619 0.083811 0.279851 0.676136 1.337463 2.298406 3.705782
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007955 0.080152 0.279748 0.691349 1.386012 2.402537 3.898674
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006790 0.078013 0.282742 0.712056 1.443406 2.519837 4.110543
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005744 0.075811 0.285301 0.731909 1.499660 2.636021 4.321815
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004104 0.069036 0.276097 0.729262 1.519440 2.699207 4.459897